Boot Barn Holdings Stock Performance

BOOT Stock  USD 189.22  8.35  4.23%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.36, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Boot Barn's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Boot Barn is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Boot Barn Holdings has a negative expected return of -0.0157%. Please make sure to confirm Boot Barn's semi variance, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and daily balance of power , to decide if Boot Barn Holdings performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Boot Barn Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of comparatively stable basic indicators, Boot Barn is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.18)
Five Day Return
1.13
Year To Date Return
5.67
Ten Year Return
K
All Time Return
K
Last Split Factor
1:25
Last Split Date
2014-10-29
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7
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Begin Period Cash Flow75.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-148.2 M

Boot Barn Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  19,512  in Boot Barn Holdings on November 29, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (590.00) from holding Boot Barn Holdings or give up 3.02% of portfolio value over 90 days. Boot Barn Holdings is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.6632% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 23% of stocks are less volatile than Boot, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Boot Barn is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.51 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

Boot Barn Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Boot Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 189.22 90 days 189.22 
about 58.99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Boot Barn to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 58.99 (This Boot Barn Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Boot Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Boot Barn has a beta of 0.36 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Boot Barn average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Boot Barn Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Boot Barn Holdings has an alpha of 0.1651, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Boot Barn Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Boot Barn

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Boot Barn Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
186.74189.40192.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
170.30212.11214.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
190.46193.12195.79
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
216.84238.29264.50
Details

Boot Barn Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Boot Barn is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Boot Barn's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Boot Barn Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Boot Barn within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.36
σ
Overall volatility
8.62
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Boot Barn Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Boot Barn for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Boot Barn Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Boot Barn Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Boot Barn Holdings has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Home Depot Tops Q4 Earnings Estimates, Stock Dips on Sales Miss

Boot Barn Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Boot Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Boot Barn's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Boot Barn's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding30.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments69.8 M

Boot Barn Fundamentals Growth

Boot Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Boot Barn, and Boot Barn fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Boot Stock performance.

About Boot Barn Performance

Assessing Boot Barn's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Boot Barn's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Boot Barn is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 167.23  143.22 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.10  0.07 
Return On Capital Employed 0.13  0.10 
Return On Assets 0.06  0.05 
Return On Equity 0.15  0.10 

Things to note about Boot Barn Holdings performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Boot Barn for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Boot Barn Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Boot Barn Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Boot Barn Holdings has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Home Depot Tops Q4 Earnings Estimates, Stock Dips on Sales Miss
Evaluating Boot Barn's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Boot Barn's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Boot Barn's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Boot Barn's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Boot Barn's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Boot Barn's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Boot Barn's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Boot Barn's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Boot Barn's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Boot Barn's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Boot Barn's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Boot Stock Analysis

When running Boot Barn's price analysis, check to measure Boot Barn's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Boot Barn is operating at the current time. Most of Boot Barn's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Boot Barn's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Boot Barn's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Boot Barn to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.